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Speaking Up, Speaking Out on Alternative to War
I think America is a great country. But I have my doubts about whether
or not it can survive the current stranglehold the two-party system has
on our government. Both parties cling more tightly to power than to
principles. And the citizenry (at large, and in my very humble opinion)
seems to care very little about the momentous import of the poor
decisions our leaders (of both parties) are making.
Case in point... currently both parties are trying to "out-hawk" each other
about Iran. I was talking a bit about politics to my brother-in-law
while driving home from
Priesthood
the other day. The context of the discussion was my disagreement with
President Hinckley's personal opinion about Iraq (at least his pre-war
opinion about Iraq, I have no idea how President Hinckley feels now...
more on that
here).
Then the subject turned to Iran. He blurted out that we should just
"bomb Iran" and be done with it. Well, if he wanted to get a rise out
of me, that was the perfect thing to say, and I started going through
all of the reasons why that was a bad idea and what we should be doing
instead. I wasn't upset, but I wasn't calm as the summer's morn either.
My brother-in-law was unimpressed and said something to effect that
"[I'm] getting too worked up about it." Now that may be true, but
there is certainly cause for grave concern in my humble opinion. This
conversation came back into my mind, because of something I read today:
What the War Party is counting on, in the end, is its ironclad control
over the two-party system and its all-pervasive grip on Congress: this,
they hope, will suppress the effects of widespread discontent and
prevent popular antiwar sentiment from upsetting their future plans.
They are counting on their well-organized and lavishly financed efforts
to counter the rising tide of public opinion, and are hoping, at the
very least, to keep the governing elites on their side. If no major
party candidate offers the people a clear choice between war and peace,
if the Democrats as well as the Republicans push a foreign policy of
"preemptive" aggression and global intervention, then - they hope - the
antiwar majority can be rendered impotent. No wonder they want to
"export democracy" to the rest of the world - it's the system that keeps
them in power, while masking their anti-majoritarian, anti-populist rule
in the shiny raiment of democratic idealism. A more self-consciously
cynical doctrine would be hard to invent.
Perfectly stated. You can read the rest
here.
It's time to speak up, and speak out.
The Logic Of Deterrence and Diplomacy
I got my latest issue of
The American Conservative in the
mail today and have just finished reading most of the articles
contained therein. Fantastic political magazine... I highly recommend
a subscription. The cover article,
"Iran:
The Logic of Deterrence" is a very good read. Here are a couple of
good quotes (but please go read the whole thing):
Given the overwhelming U.S. advantage in both nuclear and conventional
military capabilities, Iran is not going to risk national suicide by
challenging America's security commitments in the region. In this
sense, dealing with the Iranian "nuclear threat" is actually one of the
easier strategic challenges the United States faces. It is a threat
that can be handled by an offshore balancing strategy that relies on
missile, air, and naval power well away from the volatile Persian Gulf,
thus reducing the American poltico-military footprint in the region. In
short, while a nuclear-armed Iran is hardly desirable, neither is it
"intolerable," because it could be contained and deterred successfully
by the United States.
[...]
although a nuclear-armed Iran is not a pleasant prospect, neither
is it an intolerable one. Tehran won't be the first distasteful regime to
acquire nuclear weapons. The United States has adjusted to similar
situations in the past and can do so this time. Rather than preventive
war and regime change, the best policies for the U.S. with respect to
Iran are the tried and true ones: containment, deterrence, and
diplomatic engagement.
There are realistic and much more reasonable alternatives to pre-emption.
Remember this when the War Party begins, in earnest, to trump up the
Iranian Bogeyman in the coming months.
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